HomeMy WebLinkAbout2024-12-06
Electronic Council Communications Information
Package
Date:December 6, 2024
Time:12:00 PM
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Pages
1.Region of Durham Correspondence
1.1 Monitoring of Growth Trends #2024-INFO-80 - November 29, 2024 3
1.2 Minutes from the Energy From Waste - Waste Management Advisory
Committee meeting dated November 26, 2024
11
2.Durham Municipalities Correspondence
3.Other Municipalities Correspondence
3.1 City of Guelph - Enable Municipalities to Charge Fees for Use of
Municipal Property by Gas Utilities - November 29, 2024
17
4.Provincial / Federal Government and their Agency Correspondence
5.Miscellaneous Correspondence
5.1 Ganaraska Region Conservation Authority - 2025 General Levy-
December 6, 2024
19
December 6, 2024
Electronic Council Communications Information Package (ECCIP)
Page 2
If this information is required in an accessible format, please contact 1-800-372-1102 ext. 2564
The Regional Municipality of Durham
Information Report
From: Commissioner of Planning and Economic Development
Report: #2024-INFO-80
Date: November 29, 2024
Subject:
Monitoring of Growth Trends, File: D01-02-01
Recommendation:
Receive for information.
Report:
1. Purpose
1.1 This report is the second of two biannual reports monitoring growth trends in
Durham. It presents historical population and household data for the Region and
area municipalities for the 2019 to 2024 period. It also includes short-term forecasts
for the 2024 to 2029 period.
1.2 The data is provided for the end of May to correspond with the timing of a Census,
and for December to correspond with the calendar year-end. Information presented
in this report is intended for use in various Regional studies and programs, such as
Development Charges Background Studies and in preparing capital budgets for
Regional infrastructure, as well as other agency initiatives.
2. Previous Reports and Decisions
2.1 Monitoring of Growth Trends – dated December 1, 2023 (2023-INFO-102).
2.2 Monitoring of Growth Trends – dated May 24, 2024 (2024-INFO-38).
Page 3
Page 2 of 4
3. Historical Population and Household Estimates (2019-2024)
3.1 The population and household estimates presented in Attachments 1 and 2 are
based on:
a. Statistics Canada Census information for 2016 and 2021, including an
estimate for net undercoverage1;
b. Statistics Canada Annual Demographic Estimates;
c. Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) monthly housing
completion data; and
d. Building permits issued for residential demolitions.
3.2 The semi-annual population estimates presented in Attachment 1 indicate that the
Region’s mid-year population growth increased by 15,275 persons from 2023 to
2024, representing a growth rate of 2.0%. The population growth for the five-year
period from May 2019 to May 2024 was 10.7%.
3.3 The semi-annual household estimates presented in Attachment 2 indicate that the
Region’s mid-year household growth increased by 5,010 households from 2023 to
2024, representing a growth rate of 2.0%. The household growth for the five-year
period from May 2019 to May 2024 was 8.0%.
4. Short-term Growth Forecasts (2024-2029)
4.1 The short-term growth forecasts for population and households presented in
Attachments 3 and 4 are based on:
a. housing production estimates provided by the area municipalities;
b. an analysis of past trends; and
c. estimates of the timing and anticipated annual housing occupancy across the
Region2.
4.2 The accuracy of the forecasts are subject to the risk of unpredictable changes in
economic conditions and other factors affecting residential growth (e.g. significant
changes in mortgage rates, persistently high inflation, building trade strikes, etc.)3.
1 Net undercoverage refers to the net population counts that are missed during the Census enumeration
due to persons with no usual residence, incorrect questionnaires, missed dwellings, away from home, etc. 2 Growth estimates are supported by a review of housing supply and development timing by Regional staff. 3 Although large and fast-growing municipalities across the province, including Ajax, Clarington, Oshawa, Pickering and Whitby, have committed to meeting ambitious provincial housing targets; short-term growth forecasts are principally informed by the supply of housing in the development pipeline, market and economic conditions.
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Page 3 of 4
The forecasts assume that the housing market will return to more robust growth as
inflation returns to normal, but there is a risk that current economic conditions will
persist for longer than expected.
4.3 The short-term forecasts indicate that in the next five years Durham’s population is
projected to increase from 780,300 in 2024 to 896,300 in 2029 (refer to Attachment
3). The population growth for the five-year period from May 2024 to May 2029 is
expected to be 16.1%.
4.4 Similarly, the current number of households in Durham is projected to increase from
258,480 in 2024 to approximately 296,050 in 2029 (refer to Attachment 4). The
household growth for the five-year period from May 2024 to May 2029 is expected
to be 15.8%.
4.5 These forecasts recognize a significant amount of growth in Seaton, adding
approximately 5,965 households and 16,370 people to the forecast as that
community continues to grow.
5.Relationship to Strategic Plan
5.1 This report aligns with/addresses the following strategic goals and priorities in the
Durham Region Strategic Plan:
a.Priority 5.1 (Service Excellence) – Optimize resources and partnerships to
deliver exceptional quality services and value; and
b.Priority 5.3 (Service Excellence) – Demonstrate commitment to continuous
quality improvement and communicating results.
6.Conclusion
6.1 Regional Council will continue to be kept apprised of emerging population and
household data and trends through regular updates of this information.
6.2 A copy of this report will be forwarded to the Area Municipalities, the Durham
Regional Police Services, Ontario Health atHome and the School Boards in
Durham.
7.Attachments
Attachment #1: Semi-annual Population Estimates, 2019-2024
Attachment #2: Semi-annual Household Estimates, 2019-2024
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Page 4 of 4
Attachment #3: Semi-annual Population Forecasts, 2024-2029
Attachment #4: Semi-annual Household Forecasts, 2024-2029
Respectfully submitted,
Original signed by
Brian Bridgeman, MCIP, RPP, PLE
Commissioner of Planning and
Economic Development
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Attachment 1
Note: All figures rounded
Source: Statistics Canada Census and CMHC monthly housing completions data.
Semi-annual Population Estimates, 2019-2024 (May and December)
Year Ajax Brock Clarington Oshawa Pickering Scugog Uxbridge Whitby Durham
2019
(Dec)
130,235 12,720 101,650 176,505 99,595 22,115 22,290 138,120 703,230
2020
(May)
132,305 12,910 102,000 179,135 101,310 22,140 22,205 140,755 712,760
2020
(Dec)
132,705 13,390 102,865 179,530 103,755 22,175 22,275 142,630 719,325
2021
(May)
134,225 13,700 104,080 181,080 103,240 22,565 22,350 144,790 726,030
2021
(Dec)
134,630 13,725 105,525 182,210 103,985 22,550 22,360 147,220 732,210
2022
(May)
135,020 13,825 107,225 187,660 105,235 22,940 22,995 149,555 744,455
2022
(Dec)
135,645 13,845 108,265 190,055 105,790 22,930 23,075 151,315 750,920
2023
(May)
135,965 13,865 108,820 191,910 107,115 22,965 23,170 152,650 756,455
2023
(Dec)
136,370 13,880 109,335 193,775 111,280 23,015 23,295 154,430 765,385
2024
(May)
137,080 13,900 109,830 194,635 114,375 23,055 23,355 155,500 771,730
Page 7
Attachment 2
Note: All figures rounded
Source: Statistics Canada Census and CMHC monthly housing completions data.
Semi-annual Household Estimates, 2019-2024 (May and December)
Year Ajax Brock Clarington Oshawa Pickering Scugog Uxbridge Whitby Durham
2019
(Dec)
38,910 4,640 35,180 66,330 32,380 8,255 7,945 44,975 238,620
2020
(May)
39,325 4,685 35,460 66,405 32,510 8,260 7,960 45,550 240,160
2020
(Dec)
39,450 4,785 35,730 66,595 33,215 8,275 7,990 46,110 242,140
2021
(May)
39,490 4,790 35,955 66,635 33,425 8,290 8,010 46,460 243,050
2021
(Dec)
39,610 4,795 36,455 67,050 33,665 8,285 8,010 47,240 245,110
2022
(May)
39,715 4,800 36,685 67,315 33,875 8,280 8,035 47,890 246,600
2022
(Dec)
39,895 4,805 37,040 68,175 34,055 8,275 8,065 48,455 248,770
2023
(May)
39,990 4,815 37,230 68,840 34,480 8,290 8,100 48,880 250,625
2023
(Dec)
40,110 4,820 37,405 69,510 35,820 8,305 8,145 49,450 253,570
2024
(May)
40,320 4,825 37,575 69,820 36,820 8,320 8,165 49,795 255,635
Page 8
Attachment 3
Note: All figures rounded
Source: Statistics Canada Census and CMHC monthly housing completions data.
Semi-annual Population Forecasts, 2024-2029 (May and December)
Year Ajax Brock Clarington Oshawa Pickering Scugog Uxbridge Whitby Durham
2024
(Dec)
137,850 13,950 111,100 196,450 116,850 23,200 23,400 157,450 780,300
2025
(May)
139,400 14,000 112,400 198,050 119,050 23,350 23,450 158,750 788,500
2025
(Dec)
142,100 14,100 114,550 200,750 122,850 23,550 23,550 160,900 802,300
2026
(May)
144,850 14,150 115,900 202,400 125,050 23,700 23,550 162,500 812,100
2026
(Dec)
149,450 14,200 118,250 205,250 128,850 23,950 23,650 165,250 828,800
2027
(May)
152,700 14,250 119,600 207,000 130,950 24,100 23,650 167,000 839,300
2027
(Dec)
158,200 14,350 121,900 209,950 134,600 24,400 23,700 170,000 857,100
2028
(May)
161,500 14,400 123,450 211,750 136,500 24,550 23,750 171,750 867,600
2028
(Dec)
167,100 14,500 126,100 214,850 139,700 24,800 23,800 174,700 885,600
2029
(May)
170,500 14,550 127,700 216,650 141,600 24,900 23,850 176,500 896,300
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Attachment 4
Note: All figures rounded
Source: Statistics Canada Census and CMHC monthly housing completions data.
Semi-annual Household Forecasts, 2024-2029 (May and December)
Year Ajax Brock Clarington Oshawa Pickering Scugog Uxbridge Whitby Durham
2024
(Dec)
40,540 4,840 38,020 70,480 37,620 8,370 8,190 50,420 258,480
2025
(May)
41,010 4,860 38,450 71,050 38,330 8,420 8,200 50,830 261,150
2025
(Dec)
41,800 4,890 39,200 72,010 39,540 8,510 8,230 51,530 265,700
2026
(May)
42,600 4,910 39,660 72,610 40,260 8,560 8,240 52,040 268,870
2026
(Dec)
43,960 4,940 40,450 73,620 41,470 8,650 8,260 52,920 274,270
2027
(May)
44,910 4,960 40,910 74,250 42,160 8,700 8,270 53,480 277,640
2027
(Dec)
46,530 4,990 41,700 75,310 43,330 8,800 8,290 54,430 283,380
2028
(May)
47,500 5,010 42,240 75,960 43,940 8,850 8,300 54,990 286,790
2028
(Dec)
49,150 5,040 43,150 77,070 44,980 8,940 8,320 55,950 292,600
2029
(May)
50,150 5,060 43,690 77,720 45,590 8,990 8,330 56,530 296,050
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If this information is required in an accessible format, please contact 1-800-372-1102 ext. 2097.
The Regional Municipality of Durham
Minutes
Energy From Waste – Waste Management Advisory Committee
Tuesday, November 26, 2024
A meeting of the Energy from Waste – Waste Management Advisory Committee was held on Tuesday, November 26, 2024 in Council Chambers, Regional Headquarters, 605 Rossland Road East, Whitby, at 7:00 PM. Electronic participation was permitted for this meeting.
1. Roll Call
Present: G. Gordon, Whitby, Chair G. Baswick, Clarington G. Best, Whitby R. Fleming, Pickering
J. Vinson, Clarington *all members of the Committee participated electronically
Absent: M. Cannon, Oshawa P. Haylock, Clarington, Vice-Chair K. Palinka, Oshawa
T. Shomar, Clarington
Non-Voting Members Present: B. Parayankuzhiyil, Facility Manager, ReWorld N. Ratnasingam, Climate Action Response Coordinator, Municipality of Clarington
*all non-voting members of the Committee participated electronically
Staff Present: S. Ciani, Committee Clerk, Corporate Services – Legislative Services K. Dykman, Supervisor, Waste Services
A. Evans, Director, Waste Management Services R. Inacio, Systems Support Specialist – Information Technology R. Jagannathan, Commissioner of Works L. Saha, Manager, Waste Services D. San Juan, Environmental Health Specialist, Health Department,
Durham Region N. Williams, Project Manager, Waste Services attended the meeting at 7:36 PM *all staff members participated electronically
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Energy from Waste – Waste Management Advisory Committee Minutes November 26, 2024 Page 2 of 6
2. Declarations of Pecuniary Interest
There were no declarations of pecuniary interest.
3. Adoption of Minutes
Moved by R. Fleming, Seconded by G. Best, That the minutes of the EFW-WMAC meeting held on Tuesday, September 24, 2024, be adopted. CARRIED
4. Presentations
There were no presentations heard.
5. Delegations
There were no delegations heard.
6. Correspondence
A) Correspondence dated October 22, 2024, from Linda Gasser, Durham Region
Resident, regarding Bill C-59 Greenwashing Legislation and October 25th, 2024, DYEC Tours
A copy of the correspondence dated October 22, 2024, from L. Gasser, Durham Resident, regarding Bill C-59 Greenwashing Legislation and October 25th, 2024, DYEC Tours was received.
B) Correspondence dated October 30, 2024, from Linda Gasser, Durham Region Resident, regarding Further to Councillors’ Questions October 2 – History and Overview of Durham’s Monitoring Commitments re: DYEC Air and Soil Monitoring
A copy of the correspondence dated October 30, 2024, from Linda Gasser,
Durham Region Resident, regarding Further to Councillors’ Questions
October 2 – History and Overview of Durham’s Monitoring Commitments re: DYEC Air and Soil Monitoring was received.
C) Correspondence dated October 16, 2024, from Wendy Bracken, Durham Region Resident, regarding BBC News Article ‘Burning Rubbish Now UK’s
Dirtiest Form of Power’
A copy of the correspondence dated October 16, 2024, from Wendy Bracken, Durham Region Resident, regarding BBC News Article ‘Burning Rubbish Now UK’s Dirtiest Form of Power’ was received.
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Energy from Waste – Waste Management Advisory Committee Minutes November 26, 2024 Page 3 of 6
D) Correspondence dated October 30, 2024, from Wendy Bracken, Durham Region Resident, regarding DYEC Monitoring Not Keeping Up with Other Jurisdictions
A copy of the correspondence dated October 30, 2024, from Wendy Bracken, Durham Region Resident, regarding DYEC Monitoring Not Keeping Up with Other Jurisdictions was received.
E) Correspondence dated November 22, 2024, from Linda Gasser, Durham Region resident, regarding Correspondence to EFW-WMAC – Why is Nov. 6th
Works Report 2024-WR-7 & Works Cttee Disposition Not Provided to
Members on agenda
A copy of the correspondence dated November 22, 2024, from Linda Gasser, Durham Region resident, regarding correspondence to EFW-WMAC with respect to why the November 6, 2024, Works Report #2024-WR-7 and Works
Committee disposition were not provided to members on the EFW-WMAC
agenda was received.
Moved by G. Best, Seconded by R. Fleming, That Correspondence Items 6. A) to 6. E) inclusive, be received for information.
CARRIED
7. Administrative Matters
A) Update by Andrew Evans, Director, Waste Management Services, The Regional Municipality of Durham, regarding the membership application process for the next term of the EFW-WMAC (2025-2026)
A. Evans advised that the Region is now accepting applications for the new term of the EFW-WMAC and that the deadline to apply is January 17, 2025. He stated that the application form can be found at durham.ca/committees and that this process would only pertain to the EFW-WMAC members appointed by Regional Council. Committee members representing the
Municipality of Clarington would need to apply to the Municipality of Clarington directly.
B) Update by Greg Gordon, EFW-WMAC Chair, regarding the finalization and presentation of the EFW-WMAC 2024 Annual Report for presentation to Durham Region’s Works Committee and the Municipality of Clarington’s
Council in December 2024
G. Gordon reviewed the EFW-WMAC 2024 Annual Report for presentation to the Durham Region’s Works Committee and the Municipality of Clarington’s Council in December 2024 and asked the Committee if they had comments or suggestions.
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Energy from Waste – Waste Management Advisory Committee Minutes November 26, 2024 Page 4 of 6
8. Other Business
A) Update by Lipika Saha, Manager, Waste Services, the Regional Municipality of Durham, regarding 2024 Community and Outreach Activities
L. Saha provided an update regarding the 2024 Community and Outreach activities.
L. Saha advised that a number of activities were hosted throughout 2024 such as the celebration of the Region’s 50th anniversary where there was an activity booth at Regional Headquarters and an open house at the Durham
York Energy Centre (DYEC), National Public Works Week (NPWW) that was
held in May, and a booth that was placed at local farmers markets in July and August. She advised that the focus of 2024 was to promote the 5 R’s and to further promote the new waste diversion initiatives such as the curbside giveaway days. She further advised that tours of the DYEC were hosted on
PA days and that this initiative would continue into 2025 to create more
opportunities for learning and community engagement.
B) Update by Andrew Evans, Director, Waste Management Services, the Regional Municipality of Durham, regarding Expanded Green Bin Program
A. Evans provided an update regarding the expanded green bin program.
A. Evans advised that the transition to extended producer responsibility (EPR)
in July went well and that the expanded green bin program is currently under way, with a slight increase in green bin tonnages being found. He advised that the reduced cost of green bins would continue for the remainder of the year.
A. Evans advised that Report #2024-WR-8: Sole Source with Miller Waste
Systems Inc. for the Collection of Source Separated Organic Waste from
Regional Municipality of Durham Approved Multi-Residential Properties in Durham Region would be presented to Regional Council on November 27, 2024 for approval and would allow for the collection of source separated organic waste for the Multi-Residential Enhanced Green Bin Program from
Region-approved multi-residential properties in the City of Pickering, Town of
Ajax, Townships of Uxbridge, Brock and Scugog, and the Municipality of Clarington.
C) Update by Andrew Evans, Director, Waste Management Services, the Regional Municipality of Durham, regarding Automated Cart-Based Garbage Collection
Pilot Project
A. Evans provided an update regarding the automated cart-based garbage collection pilot project.
A. Evans advised that staff will be going back to the communities that are participating in the pilot project with a survey in order to determine the
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Energy from Waste – Waste Management Advisory Committee Minutes November 26, 2024 Page 5 of 6
effectiveness and successes of the project. He advised that staff will also be sharing tips for the handling of the carts in the winter. He further advised that staff will be making a recommendation to the Works Committee and Regional
Council on the use of the automated carts for future waste collection in the new year.
A. Evans responded to questions from the Committee regarding what the automated carts look like; their ease of use; how much the carts cost; and whether the collection trucks would need to be modified to accommodate the
cart pick-ups.
D) Update by Andrew Evans, Director, Waste Management Services, the Regional Municipality of Durham, regarding Durham York Energy Centre
A. Evans provided an update regarding the Durham York Energy Centre (DYEC).
A. Evans advised that the quarterly ambient air report, the odour monitoring
report, and the environmental compliance report have been submitted to the Ministry as required. He advised that the DYEC will go through its second voluntary source test next week.
A. Evans also advised that the facility went through its regular scheduled
outage through much of September and into October for maintenance, and
that the next outage would occur in the Spring and Fall of next year.
A. Evans further advised that staff responded to the questions regarding the capacity increase from 140,000 to 160,000 from the Municipality of Clarington through Report #2024-WR-7: Response to Questions Raised by Municipality
of Clarington Council in Correspondence Received at the June 5, 2024,
Works Committee that was considered by the Works Committee on November 6, 2024.
A. Evans responded to questions from the Committee regarding whether a reduction in nitrous oxide limits would be reviewed in the future.
E) Closing Comments by Greg Gordon, EFW-WMAC Chair, on the EFW-WMAC’s end-of-term
A. Evans thanked the members of the Committee for their participation and involvement through the numerous waste changes throughout the term.
G. Gordon provided closing comments on the EFW-WMAC’s end of term.
9. Next Meeting
The next regularly scheduled meeting of the EFW-WMAC will be determined once appointments are made by Durham Region and Clarington Councils.
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Energy from Waste – Waste Management Advisory Committee Minutes November 26, 2024 Page 6 of 6
10. Adjournment
Moved by R. Fleming, Seconded by G. Best, That the meeting be adjourned.
CARRIED
The meeting adjourned at 7:39 PM.
G. Gordon, Chair, Energy from Waste – Waste
Management Advisory Committee
S. Ciani, Committee Clerk
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City Hall
1 Carden St
Guelph, ON Canada N1H 3A1
T 519-822-1260 TTY 519-826-9771
guelph.ca
November 29, 2024
Sent via email to: premier@ontario.ca; minister.mah@ontario.ca;
MinisterEnergy@ontario.ca
Premier of Ontario
Legislative Building
Queen's Park
Toronto, ON M7A 1A1
The Honourable Paul Calandra
Minister of Municipal Affairs and Housing
17th Floor, 777 Bay Street
Toronto, ON M7A 2J3
The Honourable Stephen Lecce
Minister of Energy and Electrification
10th Floor, 77 Grenville Street
Toronto, ON M7A 2C1
RE: Guelph City Council Resolution to Enable Municipalities to Charge Fees
for use of Municipal Property by Gas Utilities
Dear Premier Ford, Minister Calandra and Minister Lecce,
Guelph City Council at its meeting held on November 26, 2024 passed a resolution
regarding the ability of municipalities to charge gas utilities for their use of
municipal property, which included the following motions:
1.That Council request the Province of Ontario to amend section 9 of Regulation
584/06 under the Municipal Act, 2001, to permit municipalities to charge fair
fees to for-profit gas utilities for their use of public property, as municipalities do
in most other provinces.
2.That Council direct staff, to the satisfaction of the DCAO of IDE, to negotiate a
Franchise Agreement with the gas distribution company that:
a.will allow the City of Guelph to charge fees for use of public property if
and when Ontario Regulation 584/06 is amended to allow such charges,
b.will ensure that the City of Guelph is not liable to pay for any gas
infrastructure relocations needed due to conflicts with municipal
infrastructure, and
c.will ensure future charges for use of municipal property is not
passed on to Guelph customers of the gas distribution
company.
3.That the City of Guelph supports, in principle, the Bill 219, "No Free
Ride for Fossil Fuels Act, 2024" tabled November 4, 2024 by Guelph
MPP Mike Schreiner.
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Across most of Canada, municipalities charge for-profit gas utilities fees for the use
of municipal property. This revenue supports municipalities in managing abandoned
gas distribution infrastructure and any conflicts with municipal infrastructure
without increasing the financial burden on property taxpayers. However, in Ontario,
Section 9 of O.Reg. 584/06 under the Municipal Act, 2001 prohibits municipalities
from charging for-profit gas utilities these fees. If the charging of these fees is
permitted, revenues would provide much needed funding towards essential City
services and programs, and support the City in funding any future work associated
with gas distribution infrastructure.
As Guelph seeks to renew its Franchise Agreement, which sets out the conditions
for the use of municipal property by the gas distribution company, there is an
opportunity to review the compensation framework for municipalities across
Ontario. Many sectors and individuals are increasingly transitioning away from
natural gas in favour of cleaner and carbon-free technologies, and Guelph Council
believes municipalities should not be locked in to long-term agreements which limit
the ability of municipalities to receive fair compensation from for-profit gas
distribution companies.
As such, Guelph City Council requests the Province of Ontario amend section 9 of
O.Reg. 584/06 under the Municipal Act, 2001, to permit municipalities to charge
fees to for-profit gas utilities for their use of public property. Additionally, Guelph
City Council would like to express its support, in principle, for Bill 219 – the No Free
Ride for Fossil Fuels Act, 2024, which would enshrine the right of municipalities to
charge fees under the Municipal Act, 2001, and the City of Toronto Act, 2006.
Sincerely,
Intergovernmental Services on behalf of Guelph City Council
Chief Administrative Office
Intergovernmental.relations@guelph.ca
City Hall, 1 Carden Street, Guelph ON N1H 3A1
519-822-1260 x5602
TTY: 519-826-9771
CC: Mike Schreiner, Member of Provincial Parliament for Guelph;
Ontario’s Big City Mayors
Association of Municipalities of Ontario
All Ontario Municipalities
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