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Home My WebLink AboutPD-262-90 TOWN OF NEWCASTLE r7� REPORT DN: GTA.GPA File # �.�• � t • i � Res. # By-Law # MEETING: GENERAL PURPOSE AND ADMINISTRATION COMMITTEE DATE: September 4, 1990 REPORT #: PD-262-90 FILE #: Pln 1. 6 SLCT. THE GREATER TORONTO AREA URBAN STRUCTURE CONCEPTS STUDY RECOMMENDATIONS: It is respectfully recommended that the General Purpose & Administration Committee recommend to Council the following: 1. THAT Report PD-262-90 be received for information. 1. BACKGROUND: 1. 1 The purpose of this report is to provide Council with a review and summary of the work undertaken in the Greater Toronto Urban Structure Concepts Study, which was done for the Greater Toronto Co-ordinating Committee and was released to all G.T.A. municipalities at a special meeting held in late July of this year. 1.2 The Greater Toronto Co-ordinating Committee (GTCC) initiated this study for two purposes . One purpose was to provide strategic information regarding the infrastructure requirements and costs to the year 2021 of three generic (and different) urban structure concepts for the Greater Toronto Area. . . .2 'All REPORT NO. : PD-262-90 PAGE 2 The other purpose was to provide a broad, strategic comparison of the concepts with emphasis on their impact on the matters of environmental quality, and the provision of human, transportation and "hard" services . Also, impacts on the immediate hinterland of the Greater Toronto Area were to be considered. 2 . THE GREATER TORONTO CO-ORDINATING COMMITTEE AND THE OFFICE FOR THE GREATER TORONTO AREA 2 . 1 In 1987 the Provincial Government was concerned that the regional municipalities could not provide direction for the future of the Greater Toronto Area without an office to improve co-ordination and co-operation among them and, between them and the ministries of the Ontario Government. Therefore, the Premier established the Greater Toronto Co-ordinating Committee, an administrative group composed of officials from municipalities in the Greater Toronto Area and the Provincial Government. 2 .2 At the same time, a committee of officials from eleven (11) Ontario ministries (soon named the Office for the Greater Toronto Area or OGTA) was created to bring together those officials responsible for the provincial programs and services that have the greatest impact on the Greater Toronto Area. In 1988 a Deputy Minister (responsible to the Minister of Municipal Affairs) was made head of the OGTA to emphasize its leadership and team-building functions within and beyond the Ontario Government. 2 . 3 In short, co-ordination and co-operation for Greater Toronto Area issues is managed by two bodies, one based at the . . . 3 r � REPORT NO. : PD-262-90 PAGE 3 municipal government level and the other at the provincial government level . However, each body has areas of concern and activity that extend to the other government level. 3 . SUMMARY OF THE GREATER TORONTO AREA URBAN STRUCTURE CONCEPTS STUDY 3 . 1 The urban structure concepts study represents one effort by the GTCC to co-ordinate a response to the growth pressures that are and will be found across the Greater Toronto Area. This study highlights differences among the three urban structure concepts, examines the infrastructure cost implications of providing higher or lower levels of service, and outlines possible next steps after the strategic assessment of the three urban structure concepts . 3 .2 The study explores three urban structure concepts: 1) the spread concept is a continuation of existing trends and characterized by growth focussed on suburban areas, a large supply of serviced land and a relatively small risk of sudden land price increases, a more extensive road network but increased traffic and automotive air pollution/energy consumption and, a greater duplication of social services and facilities; (Attachment #1) 2) the central concept is a radical departure from existing trends and characterized by growth in the already built- up and central areas (particularly the area within the Municipality of Metropolitan Toronto) , a relatively small rate of consumption of agricultural and other open areas, the most efficient public transit systems, relatively low . . .4 X86 REPORT NO. : PD-262-90 PAGE 4 levels of automotive air pollution and energy consumption, the greatest opportunity to reduce the pollution of rivers and lakes by upgrading the existing storm sewer system and, better use of existing health and education facilities; (Attachment #2) and 3) the nodal concept is intermediate in relation to the above concepts and characterized by an intermediate rate of consumption of agricultural and other open areas, a greater preservation of community character, the widest range of community sizes, housing types, densities and population/employment patterns and, potential for the integration and community-based delivery of social services . (Attachment #3) . The three concepts are viewed through six measure's: transportation; water supply, sewerage and solid waste management services; greening and environmental concerns; and human services . The study's horizon year is 2021 and capital costs are estimated on a cumulative basis for the period 1990 - 2021 in 1990 dollars . 4 . THE CONCLUSIONS OF THE GREATER TORONTO AREA URBAN STRUCTURE CONCEPTS STUDY 4 . 1 As is stated in the study's Background Report No. 1, this study is not a planning study in the sense that there are no recommendations . There are, however, conclusions . Capital costs for all three concepts are large, with the cost ranges for the Central and Nodal Concepts being slightly lower that the estimate for Spread Concept but, all three concepts are . . .5 8 REPORT NO. : PD-262-90 PAGE 5 considered essentially equal in capital costs . There are significant differences in annual transportation operating costs . The Spread Concept had the highest costs in 2021 ($12 . 0 billion) . The Nodal Concept had the second highest cost ($11. 1 billion) and the Central Concept had the lowest costs ($9 .9 billion) . For urban structure, the Central Concept would urbanize the least amount - of rural land. The Nodal Concept would, however, have the least impact on existing communities, and provide the greatest variety of community sizes, population densities, housing types and ownership categories. In terms of economic impetus the Central Concept stands out as having the lowest cost impact on land development costs but, the greatest risk of a land supply/demand imbalance. All three concepts are essentially equal in trunk water, sanitary sewerage and solid waste management costs . For greening/environmental concerns, the Central Concept had the highest rating, followed by the Nodal Concept. Generally, the Nodal Concept offered the highest availability of human services and the least in external impacts . 4 .2 In short, this study reveals the inevitability of trade-off decisions, e.g. , the Spread Concept offers the least government regulation but, development that is the least sustainable, whereas the Central Concept offers the opposite. Another trade-off is that of capital investment levels versus functional and/or environmental standards . 5 . THE IMPLICATIONS OF THE STUDY'S CONCLUSIONS FOR THE TOWN OF NEWCASTLE 5 . 1 The probable result of choosing the Spread Concept (the status quo) will be the urbanization of the Town's shoreline at low B8 REPORT NO. : PD-262-90 PAGE 6 densities from the Oshawa-Newcastle boundary to the east end of Newcastle Village. The probable result of choosing the Central Concept (the radical change) will be limited expansions to the Courtice, Bowmanville and Newcastle Village urban areas at higher densities . The probable result of choosing the Nodal Concept (the intermediate concept implying moderate change) will be moderate expansions to the Courtice, Bowmanville and Newcastle Village urban areas at higher densities . (Attachment #4) 5 .2 With regards to population forecasts for Durham Region and the Town of Newcastle, the three urban structure concepts and their related sets of population forecasts diverge noticeably from the Durham Planning Department's June, 1990 population forecasts . The study forecasts are much lower, even for the Spread Concept. For Newcastle's population in 2011, the predicted results of choosing the Spread, Central and Nodal Concepts are as follows: 80,000; 51,200; and 70,700, respectively. However, the Durham Planning Department's estimates of Newcastle's population in 2011 was 110,425 . For Newcastle's population growth in 2021, the predicted results of choosing the Spread, Central and Nodal Concepts are as follows: 94,500; 53,200; and 81,000, respectively. However, the Durham Planning Department's estimate of Newcastle's population in 2021 was 143, 065. 6 . CONCLUSION: 6 . 1 The Ministry of Municipal Affairs has stated that this study will now be reviewed by regional governments and local . . .7 DO REPORT NO. : PD-262-90 PAGE 7 municipalities in consultation with the public and various interest groups . The precise means of this public consultation process is yet to be determined. Subsequently the Heads of Council will convene to review the results and develop recommendations . The objectives are to develop a consensus about how Greater Toronto Area growth is to be managed and, ensure that an overall urban structure plan for the Greater Toronto Area for the next thirty (30) years is adopted. 6 .2 Staff will be examining the study in further detail and consulting with Durham Region Planning Staff. Staff will be reporting back to Council with a recommended Town position at a later date. Respectfully submitted, Recommended for presentation to the Committee Franklin Wu, M.C. I .P. Lawrence E. Kotseff Director of Planning Chief Administrative and Development Officer BR*DC*cw 20 August 1990 `790 YA 1 LEGEND 1988 Residential Population and Non-Industrial Employment Areas SCALE '* ® 1988 Industrial Employment Areas EX IT 6p 4 2 0 4 8 12 16 20 kilometres Z ® 2021 Additional Urbanized Areas Coln 7�7 CE 1 1• SPREAD II1 1 1 I 1 1 It 1 11 2 0 2 4 6 8 12 miles IBI O yr F M1A Y , ao u a - n LEGEND = 1988 Residential Population and Non-Industrial Employment Areas ® 1988 Industrial Employment Areas $ E 0 !* E)=I T 10 2021 Additional Urbanized Areas 4 2 0 4 8 12 16 20 kilometres z 2021 Urbanized At=Outline CONCEPT 2: CENTRAL Y—o11 6.1 2 miles Igo p O2021 Conceptual Node Locations a LEGEND 1988 Residential Population and Non-Industrial Employment Areas ® 1988 Industrial Employment Areas SCALE rF 2021 Additional Urbanized Areas EX rF 12 4 2 0 4 8 12 16 20 kilometres Z 2021 Urbanized Area Outline CONCEPT 3:NODAL T--� 4 6 �7 2 0 2 4 6 8 12 miles 1 0 O2021 Conceptual Node Locations ra<ouv W Attachment No. 4 DETAILS WITHIN THE TOWN OF NEWCASTLE EXISTING URBAN AREAS ADDITIONAL URBANIZED AREAS IN 202 _ I ! OSOLINA KIRBY OKENDAL OMITCHELL OHAMPTON 4:::;:•::.. CORNERS ORONO i GROVEiMAPLE:`:. i:" M 1f1 .NVILLE t , MEW L TO V N L I E z 1 40 s: Wl"ASTLE AGE , CONCEPT 1: SPREAD ! OSOLINA KIRBY OKENDAL OMITCHELL HAMPTON ' CORNERS �ORONO ftt ICE ;. QWMANVILLE 0 i NEWTONV ILLE I z 401 :II*VWCASTL E • iLAGE CONCEPT 2: CENTRAL OSOLINA KIRBY OKENDAL OMITCHELL OHAMPTON '• CORNERS ORONO MAPLE';;: ' 2 GROVE>`>:' M ANVILLE ONV N EW T 4 IL o LE r z 401 ::( t! ASTLE ' t LpGE CONCEPT 3: NODAL c7