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Home My WebLink AboutPD-36-94Subject: POPULATION AND DEVELOPMENT ACTIVITY IN THE MUNICIPALITY OF CLARINGTON YEAR END 1993 Recommendations: It is respectfully recommended that the General Purpose and Administration Committee recommend to Council the following: 1. THAT Report PD -36 -94 be received for information. 1. POPULATION 1.1 The population growth for urban and rural areas in the Municipality of Clarington from 1981 to 1993 is shown on Attachment #1. The information presented for year end 1993 is calculated from the Year End Assessed Population and adjusted to the Census basis. The population figures reflect the urban boundaries shown in the Official Plan for the former Town of Newcastle. 1.2 Between 1986 and 1991 Courtice was the major beneficiary of population growth in the municipality. Since 1991, however, Bowmanville has been the primary growth area in the Municipality and on the basis of development activity, this trend is anticipated to continue. 1.3 Other notable trends include an increase over the years in the proportion of residents living in the urban areas. As expected, these trends indicate that Clarington is experiencing a fundamental shift as it moves away from being a semi -rural Municipality to an increasingly urbanized Municipality. 2. DEVELOPMENT ACTIVITY 2.1 Table 2 provides the status of residential dwelling units in plans of subdivision and site plan applications at January 1, 1994 by RFG PAPE� E� M THIS ISP t RED M RECYCED PAPER REPORT NO.: PD -36 -94 PAGE 2 dwelling type and location. Approximately 1,200 residential lots are registered and a further 5,200 residential units are contained in draft approved plans of subdivision. On the basis of building activity since 1990 (approximately 675 units per annum), this represents a 9 year supply of dwelling units. If, however, the housing market returned to pre- recession levels (approximately 1,100 units per annum) , this represents a 6 year supply of dwelling units. 2.2 The geographic distribution of housing in draft approved and registered plans of subdivision is illustrated in Figure 1 below. The strong future growth of the Bowmanville Urban Area is evident. Courtice units account for only 19% of housing units in draft approved and registered plans of subdivision. However, the majority of units seeking draft plan approval which conform to the Official Plan are located in Courtice. Several medium and higher density site plans in Bowmanville and Courtice can be brought forward when market conditions are favourable. FIGURE 1 Residential Units a t Draft Approved Bowmanville (71 %) January 1, .1994 and Registered REPORT NO.: PD -36 -94 PAGE 3 2.3 The breakdown of residential units by type in draft approved and registered plans of subdivision illustrated in Figure 2 below. Single detached homes account for approximately 50% of the units. Semi - detached housing (including link homes) and townhouses account for 24% and 20% respectively. The market is continuing to orient their product to first time homeowners seeking lower cost housing. FIGURE 2 Residential Units by Type Jan. 1, 1994 Draft Approved and Registered Semi / Links (1544) Apartment (385) , ,�,.. (1 302) -11. 3. SUMMARY This report represents the most up to date population and development activity information of the Municipality and is presented to Council for information purposes. A Housing Report will not be prepared in 1994 due to pressing work commitments for the Official Plan Review. X84 REPORT NO.: PD -36 -94 PAGE 4 Respectfully submitted, j r 4 J. Franklin Wu, M.C.I.P. Director of Planning and Development DC *FW *df *Attach 11 March 1994 Reviewed by, W.H. Stockwell Chief Administrative Officer CLARINGTON URBAN AND RURAL POPULATION DISTRIBUTION (Census Based) 1981 1986 1991 1993 Estimate Year End Population % Population % Population % Population % Bowmanville Courtice Newcastle Village Orono SUBTOTAL URBAN Wilmot Cr.Ret.Com. Rural SUBTOTAL RURAL TOTAL 13080 41.2% 13325 39.1% 15800 31.9% 18300 33.5% 1760 5.5% 3070 9.00/0 11422 23.1% 13400 24.5% 1840 5.8% 2015 5.9% 4277 8.6% 4500 8.2% 1120 3.5% 1685 4.9% 1746 3.5% 1800 3.3% 17800 56.1% 20095 59.0% 33245 67.2% 38000 69.6% 0 0.0% 700 2'.1 % 1081 2.2% 1100 2.0% 13940 43.9% 13270 39.0% 15153 30.6% 15500 28.4% 13940 43.9% 13970 41.0% 16234 32.8% 16600 30.4% 31740 100.0% 34065 100.0% 49479 100.0% 54600 100.0% 1981 is based on Year End Assessment (December 31 st) 1986 is Census Based (June 1st) as calculated by Durham Region 1991 is Census Based (June 1st) as calculated by Clarington Planning The 1991 Assessed Population of for each area was proportionately adjusted on the basis of the ratio between the Total Assessment population (47262) and the Total Census Population (49479). 1993 is estimated from Year End (December 31 st) Assessed Population of 52,121 and adjusted to a Census basis on the same ratio as 1991. MUNICIPALITY OF CLARINGTON STATUS OF BUILDING UNITS JANUARY 1, 1994 SINGLE SEMI— TOWN— A —PT S. TOTAL DETACH/ HOUSE LINK Number of lots fully serviced ready for Building Permit (Registered) Number of lots Draft Approved with Approved Engineering Number of lots Draft Approved Number of lots seeking Draft Approval that conform to Official Plan Number of lots seeking Draft Approval which require O.P.A.'s TOTAL Courtice Bowmanville Newcastle Village Other 259 224 3 44 184 238 0 -- 0 235 0 — — 0 0 0 -- 443 697 3 44 TOTAL, Courtice Bowmanville Newcastle Village , Other 530 34 119 0 0 422 134 178 0 -- 235 58 31 0 -- 01187 0 0 0 -- 226 328 0 0 TOTAL Courtice Bowmanville Newcastle Village Other 153 211 1674 391 178 312 96 714 0 -- 89 262 716 0 -- 0 0 385 0 -- 554 569 3489 391 178 TOTAL Courtice Bowmanville Newcastle Village Other 2454 486 193 465 56 810 457 373 22 — — 978 192 286 0 -- 385 532 316 25 — — 4627 1667 1168 512 56 TOTAL Courtice Bowmanville Newcastle Village Other 1200 459 665 748 230 852 302 488 364 — — 478 360 1356 909 — — 873 180 1342 0 — — 3403 1301 3851 2021 230 TOTAL 21021 6439 11541 3550 F 2625 4405 1522 2780 7403 17174